Statistical Analysis of Extreme Hydrological Droughts
The study examined several works about extreme droughts for their validity with different parameters by the statistical experimental method. The results showed that the analytical method...
Robust Estimators in Hydrologic Frequency Analysis
This paper applies a specific robust estimation procedure known as 'trimming' in flood frequency analysis. The trimming technique consists in censoring the series of recorded floods by...
The Method of Derived Distributions Applied to Peak Flows
Random variables which are functionally related have their probability distributions also related in a prescribed manner. Thus, in theory, the probability distribution of peak discharge...
A Revised Snowstorm Maximization Method for Canadian Boreal Regions
A proposed refinement in the development of design snowpacks for use in the derivation of probable maximum floods (PMF) estimates in the Canadian Boreal is presented. Shortcomings in the...
A Probabilistic Approach to Estimate Design Parameters for Flood Control Projects
The purpose of this paper is to provide engineering consultants with an improved method to estimate design parameters for various return periods in rural areas. The proposed method combines...
Estimating Exceedance Probabilities of Extreme Floods
Estimates of the exceedance probabilities of extreme floods are needed for risk analysis of dams and nuclear energy facilities. A new approach using a joint probability distribution of...
Probabilistic Calculation of Design Floods?SPEED
The probabilistic calculation of design floods was initiated in the 60s to overcome statistical calculation uncertainties. SPEED takes up and expands this original concept in the form...
Practical Experience in the Probabilistic Based Management of Large Water Resources Systems
Probabilistic tools to assist with the management of large water resource systems in South Africa were developed and applied during the last decade. Acceptance today is not only due to...
Impacts of Potential Climate Change on Colorado-Big Thompson System Operations
The objective of this study is to examine the response of the Colorado-Big Thompson (CBT) system to specific local changes in climate, using the model CBTAOP to project the operating plan...
Probabilistic Characteristics of Elapsed Time Between Rainfalls
The elapsed time between rainfalls is analyzed statistically using the hourly rain data at two locations: the flat-plain at Urbana, Illinois and the northwestern Appalachian foothills...
Engineering Geomorphology
Engineering geomorphology is the application of geologic and geomorphic principles to the solution of river engineering problems. Development of a process-based understanding of a problem...
Model Technology for Estimating Storm-Induced Currents
This paper demonstrates the application of the one-dimensional shallow-water equation model DYNLETI at Brunswick Harbor, Georgia to simulate storm-induced velocities precisely at a bridge...
Time-Dependent Landslide Probability Mapping
Case studies where time of failure is known for rainfall-triggered debris flows can be used to estimate the parameters of a hazard model in which the probability of failure is a function...
Rainfall Depth-Duration-Frequency Analysis for Major Cities in Taiwan
The annual series of extreme rainfall amounts for various durations are compiled. The statistics such as mean, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, coefficient of skewness, and...
Probability of Bridge Failure Due to Scouring
Models to estimate depth of scour at bridge piers and abutments are available in many forms,but all of them are based on constant discharges. Their results vary widely and engineering...
The Seattle Forecast Model: A Tool for Water Resources Management in the Seattle Area
The Seattle Forecast Model, SEAFM, developed by Hydrocomp Inc. for the Seattle Water Department, is an interactive, graphic system for streamflow forecasting and reservoir analysis of...
Probability and Impact of an Observed Rare Sequence of Floods
Accordingly, it may be concluded that the severity of the recorded sequence would be exceeded in about 2.1 percent of future sequences, or have about one chance in 45 or 50 of being exceeded...
BMS Modelling of Bridge Stock Performance
A computer-based Bridge Management System, BMS, was designed in Finland by the Finnish National Road Administration (FinnRA) to assist in high level bridge policy, long-term planning and...
Infrastructure Damage Modeling with GIS
This paper describes the use of a geographic information system to model damage to a municipal water distribution system. In a demonstration application detailed attribute data on components...
Reliability-Based Analysis and Design of Flexible Airfield Pavements
This paper illustrates, a new reliability-based procedure to analyze existing pavements and design new pavements that is being developed by the U.S. Air Force. The procedure uses a rigorous...
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