Markov Chains & Soil Constitutive Modeling
The focus of this research effort is the construction of a mathematical framework to assist in understanding the role of uncertainties in the constitutive/dynamic behavior of soils. The...
Application of Bayesian Methods to a Geotechnical Site Investigation in Mississippi
In 1981, the Army Corps of Engineers constructed an ammunition storage area at Bay St. Louis, Mississippi. This storage area is part of the Mississippi Army Ammunition Plant (MSAAP). Prior...
Pore Pressure Development: Probability Analysis
The development and subsequent dissipation of excess pore pressure, p in a soil deposit subject to an external load is examined using probability concepts that account for uncertainties...
Dependence of Fatigue Damage on Loading Amplitude Variability
Welded steel specimens have been tested under variable amplitude loadings to determine the extent to which fatigue life is affected by the rate of amplitude variability of the loading...
Statistics of Concrete Shrinkage Test Data
The paper reports a large series of concrete shrinkage tests which can be used for statistical purposes. The series involves two groups of 36 identical cylindrical specimens, with a diameter...
Probabilistic Slope Stability?Case Study
The stability of a slope depends upon highly variable conditions of varying degrees of importance. Probability theory is used herein to assess the relative importance of the soil parameters...
Probabilistic Model for Stability of Slopes
Presented herein is a probabilistic model based on derived distributions to predict shear strength of soils and the safety factor of slopes considering uncertain properties of soil, namely:...
Reliability of Geotechnical Systems Considering Geological Anomaly
Anomaly statistics at a given site are first assessed through Bayesian methodology on the basis of site exploration data. Several methods may be then used to incorporate the anomaly uncertainties...
A Probabilistic 3-D Short-Term Slope Stability Model
A probabilistic model to analyze the three-dimensional stability of earth slopes under short-term conditions is presented. An actual failure case is studied to show the implementation...
On Response Spectrum Approach for Nonclassically Damped Structural System
A response spectrum approach to approximate the maximum response of nonclassically damped structural systems is presented. The maximum response is expressed in terms of the sine spectrum,...
Bridge Reliability Evaluation Using 3-D Analysis and Damage Scenarios
This paper reports analytical investigations into the system strength and reliability evaluation of existing bridges using 3-D inelastic analysis and damage scenarios. In this context,...
Bridge Reliability?Evaluation vs. Design
Probabilistic methods of structural safety are being widely accepted as a basis for rationally considering uncertainties and developing reliability based design specifications for various...
Dynamic Maps for Seismic Risk Reduction and Effects of Soil Conditions
In order to perform useful vulnerability and risk evaluations, it is essential to have at one's disposal an automatic procedure of elaboration which provides answers in real time as soon...
A Stochastic Seismological Model in Earthquake Engineering
Recent studies of source mechanisms and wave propagation models enable one to generate strong motions based on deterministic source and source-to-site characteristics. The normal mode...
Practical Implementation of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment
Many techniques for seismic probabilistic risk assessment have been developed by university researchers over the last decade. This paper reports on a study being conducted to determine...
Effect of Spatial Variation of Ground Motions on Bridges
The effect of spatial variation of ground motions on the response of a two-span bridge is presented. Perfectly and partially correlated earthquake ground motions are used as input motions...
Applications of ARMA Models for Seismic Damage Prediction
As an alternative to current design practice which is based on peak measured ground motions and scaled records from different events, individual earthquake records are treated as samples...
Actual Versus Assumed Behaviour of Girder Bridges
It is generally believed that the discrepancies between calculated and actual responses of bridges can diminish, to the point of being nonexistent, with refinement in the method of analysis....
Design Wind Loads for Broadcasting Antennas from Short Time Records
Very useful would be procedures for the determination of the design wind load on the basis of short time records, of duration comparable with the preliminary and/or design phases, so that...
Bayesian Updating of Seismic Fragilities of Nuclear Power Plant Components
Seismic fragility is represented by a curve of the conditiional probability of failure as a function of the peak ground acceleration. Since there are many uncertainties in the model and...
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