Application of Bayesian Methods to a Geotechnical Site Investigation in Mississippi

by Arthur G. Dohrman, US Army Engineers Div, United States,
William F. Kane, US Army Engineers Div, United States,
Mark V. Bower, US Army Engineers Div, United States,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Probabilistic Methods in Civil Engineering


In 1981, the Army Corps of Engineers constructed an ammunition storage area at Bay St. Louis, Mississippi. This storage area is part of the Mississippi Army Ammunition Plant (MSAAP). Prior to construction, a conventional site exploration was performed. As part of the engineering analysis, the expected settlements of the storage magazines was calculated. Subsequently, settlement measurements of selected magazines were taken over the latter portion of the settlement period. The objectives of this study are to evaluate the predicted and actual settlement history of the MSAAP ammunition storage area using Bayesian statistical methods and to develop strategies for optimum site exploration.

Subject Headings: Site investigation | Bayesian analysis | Construction sites | Soil settlement | Geotechnical investigation | Foundation settlement | Structural settlement | History | Mississippi | United States

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