Man and Huge System Interaction
In many cases of disaster, the causes of failure of huge systems are frequently attributed to human error. However human is liable to error. To exclude human factor from a huge system...
Reliability of Overhead Transmission Lines Subjected to Wind Action
The probability distribution of the strength of steel towers used in transmission lines, due to wind excitation, is evaluated on the basis of test results of 72 towers of various designs,...
Safety Analysis of Steel Building Frames Under Dynamic Wind Loading
A method is presented for evaluating the lifetime risk of failure, in terms of probability of excessive inter-floor deflection, for a class of steel building frames subjected to dynamic...
Response Surface Fitting in Offshore Structural Design
Failure probability estimation of complex offshore structures requires the modeling of the system behavior in terms of all uncertain parameters. This paper investigates the applicability...
Collision Risk Analysis Fixed Platform and Semisubmersible
This paper summarizes the North Sea experience pertaining to mooring line failures of conventional 8 and 12 anchor line systems. Mooring system calculations, experience and test results...
Reliability Analysis for Offshore Structures
This study presents the reliability analysis of an offshore structure. The mechanical model includes various elasto-plastic diagrams with and without the combination of the normal force...
Reliability-Based Design of Tunnel Support in Jointed Rock
The presence of joints in a rock mass may cause local instability of the tunnel support and its effect on safety should be included in design. Because of significant uncertainties in the...
Progressive Failure Probability of Soil Slopes Containing Geologic Anomalies
The variability in the redistribution of stress during sliding failure of a slope is first studied. Presence of a geologic anomaly is shown to affect the failure path pattern and likelihood...
Safety Assessment of an Existing Concrete Gravity Dam
The safety and/or probability of failure of an existing 146 m high concrete gravity dam subjected to normal static and dynamic loads is evaluated. Three modes of failure were considered,...
Simulation of Seismic Damage of RC Structures in Eastern US
A normalized index for evaluation of structural damage was developed based on the relation of demand and capacity. The proposed formulation combines two sources of damage: permanent deformation...
Response Analysis of Crude Oil Transmission Systems
A preliminary analysis of the seismic response of continuous steel pipelines is presented. The Crude Oil Transmission System in the New Madrid Mo. area is choosen as an example. Assumptions...
A Seismic PRA Procedure in Japan and its Application to a Building Performance Safety Estimation: Part 2. Fragility Analysis
In this paper, a practical seismic fragility evaluation method for structure and equipment systems is proposed. Structural and equipment failures are considered here, reflecting detailed...
A Seismic PRA Procedure in Japan and its Application to a Building Performance Safety Estimation: Part 3. Estimation of Building and Equipment Performance Safety
This paper presents an application of a seismic PRA procedure to an apartment building, which also contains an electric substation for the surrounding area. In this procedure, as presented...
Reliability-Based Design Requirements for Foundations of Buildings Subjected to Earthquake
Optimum seismic design coefficients and safety factors with respect to shear and overturning failure modes are obtained for a set of multi-story frame buildings idealized as single-mass...
Reconciliation Between Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Margin Analysis Methods
This paper presents a procedure for reconciling the results from the probabilistic and deterministic methods for calculating a high confidence of a low probability of failure (HCLPF) capacity...
A Continuous Damage Index for Seismic Reliability Assessment of Structural Steel Elements
Based on experimental investigations using steel plate elements subjected to cyclic axial loading, a continuous damage and/or deteriorating process is examined. In order to describe intermediate...
Safety Assessment Methodology for Construction Operations
There are many factors that affect the safety of construction operations which might lead to failures and accidents. The factors are associated with random, human-based or system uncertainty....
Fuzzy Reliability Analysis for Structural Systems with Continuous States of Failure
When there exist continuous transition states from the completely safe states to the completely failed states for structural components, the whole structure would behaves in the same way....
Application of Physical Laws to Parameter Estimation for Probabilistic Models of Cumulative Damage
In this initial paper we will discuss the development of the application of physical laws to the modeling of cumulative damage and particular to crack growths. The basic assumptions due...
Damage Evolution in Reinforced Concrete Members Under Cyclic Loading
The paper presents a new damage indicator D, valid for reinforced concrete sections under cyclic loading. DQ, based on sectionally absorbed energies,...
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