Fracture Mechanics Fatigue Reliability Assessment Employing the Most Probable Point Locus Method
The statistical distribution of cycle life, N, could be easily constructed if N were an explicit function of the design factors. A simple strategy for constructing the distribution of...
Methods to Estimate Parametric Sensitivity in Structural Reliability Analysis
Many different approaches are used in structural system reliability to estimate the probability of failure. In this paper, methods to obtain the sensitivity to the distribution parameters...
On the Evaluation of System Reliability Through Automatic Generation of Failure Modes
This paper proposes a method for the evaluation of structural failure probability taking into account all the potential failure modes. At first, the failure paths to produce failure modes...
Upper-Bound Estimate of the Reliability of Plastic Slabs
This paper gives a brief presentation of some recent results on probabilistic analysis of plastic slabs, especially reinforced concrete slabs. The estimate of the reliability of such slabs...
Prediction of Concrete Creep and Shrinkage by Sampling on the Basis of Correlated Random Material Parameters
There are many random parameters which influence creep and shrinkage of concrete. In all of the previous probabilistic studies the parameters are assumed to be mutually independent random...
Effects of Random Material Properties and Loads
The variability of slab deflections is estimated from analytical expressions accounting for random variations of spatially distributed loads and material properties (stiffness parameters)....
Probabilistic Design of Flexible Pavements
Numerous random phenomena enter into the process of deterioration of pavements under the effect of traffic. It is felt that improvement in current design methods could be obtained by adopting...
Probabilistic Slope Stability?Case Study
The stability of a slope depends upon highly variable conditions of varying degrees of importance. Probability theory is used herein to assess the relative importance of the soil parameters...
Probabilistic Model for Stability of Slopes
Presented herein is a probabilistic model based on derived distributions to predict shear strength of soils and the safety factor of slopes considering uncertain properties of soil, namely:...
A Probabilistic 3-D Short-Term Slope Stability Model
A probabilistic model to analyze the three-dimensional stability of earth slopes under short-term conditions is presented. An actual failure case is studied to show the implementation...
First-Order Reliability Analysis of Groundwater Flow
A method for stochastic analysis of groundwater flow based on the first-order reliability approach is presented. The method is well suited for problems in which statistical information...
Orthogonal Expansion for Beam Variability
A new method for the solution of problems involving random media is proposed. The medium property is represented by a stochastic process. The method makes use of an orthogonal expansion...
Failure Probability Estimation of Series Systems
In this paper, an approximation scheme is presented for analysis of series structural systems where no exact solution exists. If the safety indices of the individual failure functions...
Probabilistic Design of Offshore Structural Systems
Probabilistic design of structural systems is considered in this paper. The reliability is estimated using first-order reliability methods (FORM). The design problem is formulated as the...
Response of Structural Systems with Uncertain Parameters: A Comparative Study of Probabilistic and Fuzzy Sets Models
Due to the limitation in space, this paper only presents the conclusions of a study on the response of structures with uncertain properties such as mass, stiffness and damping. In the...
Practical Implementation of Seismic Probabilistic Risk Assessment
Many techniques for seismic probabilistic risk assessment have been developed by university researchers over the last decade. This paper reports on a study being conducted to determine...
Autoregressive Model of Spatially Propagating Earthquake Ground Motion
An autoregressive random process model was used to investigate a simulation method of spatially and temporally variative ground motion when characteristics of motion are prescribed by...
MA to ARMA Two-Stage Monte Carlo Simulation
A prior autoregressive (AR) model can be the basis to obtain a quite eficient and reliable subsequent autoregressive moving average (ARMA) approximation. The design of the AR system which...
One Solution for Different Stochastic Systems
It is shown that different dynamic systems under different sets of random excitations can share an identical probabilistic solution. Such systems are said to be stochastically equivalent,...
Variability Analysis of Bridge Responses Using the Semi-Continuum Method
The semi-continuum method is used for Monte Carlo simulation of a large number of bridges. It is confirmed that the mean values of responses can be obtained deterministically, and their...
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