Application of Bayesian Methods to a Geotechnical Site Investigation in Mississippi
In 1981, the Army Corps of Engineers constructed an ammunition storage area at Bay St. Louis, Mississippi. This storage area is part of the Mississippi Army Ammunition Plant (MSAAP). Prior...
Pore Pressure Development: Probability Analysis
The development and subsequent dissipation of excess pore pressure, p in a soil deposit subject to an external load is examined using probability concepts that account for uncertainties...
Probabilistic Prediction of Mixed Mode Fracture Initiation and Trajectory Under Random Stresses
Methods are developed for estimating crack trajectory and the probability of crack initiation in mixed mode fracture. The analysis is based on a computer program for deterministic fracture...
Dependence of Fatigue Damage on Loading Amplitude Variability
Welded steel specimens have been tested under variable amplitude loadings to determine the extent to which fatigue life is affected by the rate of amplitude variability of the loading...
Fracture Mechanics Fatigue Reliability Assessment Employing the Most Probable Point Locus Method
The statistical distribution of cycle life, N, could be easily constructed if N were an explicit function of the design factors. A simple strategy for constructing the distribution of...
Polyhedral Substitute Yield Conditions in Plastic Reliability Analysis
The method of invariant linear combinations of linearly associated lower bound safety margins is used for constructing upper bound approximations of the generalized reliability index with...
Methods to Estimate Parametric Sensitivity in Structural Reliability Analysis
Many different approaches are used in structural system reliability to estimate the probability of failure. In this paper, methods to obtain the sensitivity to the distribution parameters...
On the Evaluation of System Reliability Through Automatic Generation of Failure Modes
This paper proposes a method for the evaluation of structural failure probability taking into account all the potential failure modes. At first, the failure paths to produce failure modes...
Fatigue Reliability and Inspection in Redundant Structural Systems
The reliability of redundant structural systems under fatigue including updating by inspection is studied using two different formulations, i.e., the stress intensity space and the crack...
Upper-Bound Estimate of the Reliability of Plastic Slabs
This paper gives a brief presentation of some recent results on probabilistic analysis of plastic slabs, especially reinforced concrete slabs. The estimate of the reliability of such slabs...
Statistics of Concrete Shrinkage Test Data
The paper reports a large series of concrete shrinkage tests which can be used for statistical purposes. The series involves two groups of 36 identical cylindrical specimens, with a diameter...
Reliability Based Analysis of Contact Problems
The S.B. Batdorf model is modified to include the reduction in shear due to the effect of compressive stresses on the crack face. This new formulation was used to obtain the probability...
Reliability of Geotechnical Systems Considering Geological Anomaly
Anomaly statistics at a given site are first assessed through Bayesian methodology on the basis of site exploration data. Several methods may be then used to incorporate the anomaly uncertainties...
A Probabilistic 3-D Short-Term Slope Stability Model
A probabilistic model to analyze the three-dimensional stability of earth slopes under short-term conditions is presented. An actual failure case is studied to show the implementation...
First-Order Reliability Analysis of Groundwater Flow
A method for stochastic analysis of groundwater flow based on the first-order reliability approach is presented. The method is well suited for problems in which statistical information...
Simulation with Ordered Discrete-Stochastic Samples
In order to account for the viscoplastic deformations, leading to the failure of structures, the nonlinear dynamic responses can be obtained with convenient spatially discretization schemes....
Stochastic Fem Analysis of Nonlinear Dynamic Problems
This paper deals with the stochastic finite element analysis of nonlinear structural dynamic problems, using Monte Carlo simulation techniques. The stochasticity of those problems arises...
Sensitivity Analysis of Nonlinear Fem
A method of sensitivity analysis is developed for nonlinear structural systems which are governed by incremental finite element equations. The formulation originates in the perturbation...
Reliability of Geometrically Nonlinear Structures
A procedure for first- and second-order, finite-element reliability analysis of geometrically nonlinear structures under static loads is presented. Structures are either linear or nonlinear...
Lifetime Reliability of Wood Structural Systems
A model to predict ultimate capacity reliability of wood systems is developed. The model is analogous to Markov cumulative damage models. System ultimate capacity is defined as failure...
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