A Two-Stage Safety Assessment Methodology for Construction Activities
The control of construction activities requires the evaluation of the condition of the control attributes of interest. In order to develop the required methodology, a model of the construction...
Numerical Solution of the Transient Fokker-Planck Equation: The Movie
The finite element method is applied to the solution of the transient Fokker-Planck equation for several nonlinear dynamical systems in R2, giving...
First-Excursion Probability of Uncertain Structures
The first-order reliability method (FORM) is used to estimate the first-excursion probability of uncertain structures subjected to deterministic dynamic loads. An algorithm is developed...
An Exact Expression for the Distribution of Linear Combinations of Uniform Random Variables
Structural dynamic analysis have often in the past relied on the assumption that the system under consideration is well known ahd have been associated the unpredictability of the response...
Critical Buckling Load Statistics of an Uncertain Column
The objective of this paper is to examine the statistics of the buckling load of a column with uncertain material properties. The elastic modulus is assumed to be a random process that...
Retention Parameter Estimates for Curve Number Runoff Procedure
A technique is developed for computing estimates and associated probabilities of the retention parameter S in the Soil Conservation Service curve number runoff procedure. This technique...
Forecasting Instabilities in Groundwater Parameters
A multiprocess Kalman filter recursive procedure is used as a tool for modeling and analysis of noisy groundwater series in order to detect abrupt fluctuations and instabilities in the...
Probability and Climatology of Droughts in the Western United States
The incidence of drought in the western United States is caused primarily by large-scale anomalies in the circulation of atmospheric, midlatitudinal, transport and the occurrence of the...
Study of Groundwater Availability in Case of Drought
Groundwater drought events were derived by taking truncation levels through the time series of daily drawdown records from observation wells. Droughts of various truncation levels, namely,...
Development of Storage Demand Relation for Reservoirs?A Probabilistic Approach
This paper presents a practical method for developing storage-demand relation for reservoirs by a probability analysis of the stream flow data. The method was employed by the author for...
Probability of Bridge Failure Due to Pier Scour
Methods have been presented for computing the probability of bridge failure due to pier scour either using a maximum scour depth model or a time-dependent model. The probability of failure...
Engineering Mechanics
This proceedings,
A More Rational Approach to Pavements
It is the intent of this paper to demonstrate how purely probabilistic arguments can be used to formulate a rational (phenomenonological) model of the particulate media that comprise pavement...
Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural and Geotechnical Reliability
This proceedings consists of summary papers for the thirty-six technical sessions of the 6th ASCE Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics, and Structural and Geotechnical Reliability....
Probability of Wave Force on Horizontal Members
This study is motivated by the works of Isaacson and Subbiah (1990) to evaluate the vertical wave force on a rigid horizontal member located in the vicinity of still water level with its...
Application of Fracture Mechanics Methodology to Assessment of Weld Defects in Offshore Platforms
This paper demonstrates an application of both deterministic and probabilistic fracture mechanics methods to assess weld defects in an offshore platform. The results of the assessment...
Impact of Cold Weather on Building Construction Scheduling
Weather impact on a building construction schedule is often significant in cold regions. Most deterministic scheduling methods are unable to directly account for the effects of weather...
A Conceptual Model for Vertical Frazil Distribution in Turbulent Flows
A conceptual model is presented for the evolution of frazil over depth in a turbulent flow. The net upward migration due to buoyancy of the frazil is opposed by intermittent mixing induced...
Effect of Grain Size Variation on Damage in Polycrystalline Ice
This paper studies the effect of grain size distributions on damage accumulation in polycrystalline ice under uniaxial compression. The numerical results are derived from the internal-variable...
A Formalism to Generate Probability Distributions for Performance-Assessment Modeling
A formalism is presented for generating probability distributions of parameters used in performance-assessment modeling. The formalism is used when data are either sparse or nonexistent....
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