# Autocorrelation Functions for Offshore Geotechnical Data

*Autocorrelation functions are described. Data from several North Sea sites are analyzed with respect to the vertical and horizontal autocorrelation of a number of soil properties. Based...*

Safety Assessment of an Existing Concrete Gravity Dam

*The safety and/or probability of failure of an existing 146 m high concrete gravity dam subjected to normal static and dynamic loads is evaluated. Three modes of failure were considered,...*

Bayesian Updating of Axial Capacity of Single Pile

*The paper outlines a Bayesian technique to update predictions of pile driving and axial pile capacity on the basis of pile driving records. The approach enables one to systematically account...*

Probabilistic Evaluation of the Performance of Axially Loaded Bored Piles

*Probabilistic evaluation of single slender elastic elements, bored piles, in a multi-layered soil system without noticeable displacement of the soils are considered. The numerical analyses...*

Analysis of Earthquake Response at a Site With Uncertain Properties

*The problem of earthquake response of a soil deposit with uncertain properties is studied in the paper. Various analysis procedures for handling the dynamic response of an uncertain system...*

A Stochastic Clustering Model for the Occurrence of Large Earthquakes Along the Central Peruvian Margin

*A stochastic model of a process of cluster centers and subsidiary cluster member processes is presented for the occurrence of large earthquakes along the Central Peruvian Margin. In the...*

Earthquake Ground Motions Consistent with Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis

*The present study deals with the new methodology for simulation of earthquake ground motion for the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) of structures. Peak ground acceleration, acceleration...*

Seismic Risk Analysis Based on Spectral Characteristics of Ground Motions

*This paper presents two different approaches to construct the seismic response spectrum from a probabilistic point of view. One is the uniform hazard response spectrum, the other is the...*

A Seismic PRA Procedure in Japan and its Application to a Building Performance Safety Estimation: Part 2. Fragility Analysis

*In this paper, a practical seismic fragility evaluation method for structure and equipment systems is proposed. Structural and equipment failures are considered here, reflecting detailed...*

A Seismic PRA Procedure in Japan and its Application to a Building Performance Safety Estimation: Part 3. Estimation of Building and Equipment Performance Safety

*This paper presents an application of a seismic PRA procedure to an apartment building, which also contains an electric substation for the surrounding area. In this procedure, as presented...*

Reconciliation Between Probabilistic and Deterministic Seismic Margin Analysis Methods

*This paper presents a procedure for reconciling the results from the probabilistic and deterministic methods for calculating a high confidence of a low probability of failure (HCLPF) capacity...*

A Study of Seismic Reliability of Base Isolated Building Comparing with Non Base Isolated Building

*An approach to discuss the difference between reliability of base-isolated buildings and that of non base-isolated buildings is presented. The fragility analysis method in PRA procedure...*

Application of Physical Laws to Parameter Estimation for Probabilistic Models of Cumulative Damage

*In this initial paper we will discuss the development of the application of physical laws to the modeling of cumulative damage and particular to crack growths. The basic assumptions due...*

Adaptive Importance Sampling

*An adaptive importance sampling scheme is presented which is based on the idea that as one samples, the knowledge of the failure domain increases. If one keeps modifying the importance...*

On the Failure Probabilities of R/C Chimneys

*A procedure to estimate failure probabilities of structural systems such as reinforced concrete (R/C) chimneys under severe wind loading which allows for considering realistic correlation...*

System Reliability Using Higher-Order Moments

*A method is proposed for evaluating the reliability of structural systems using higher-order moments. The higher-order moment standardization technique (HOMST) is advanced for transforming...*

Probabilistic Concepts of Redundancy and Damage Tolerability for Structural Systems

*Intermediate states of structural systems (prior to system collapse and after component loss) are focused herein. This area relates to important issues such as redundancy and damage tolerability....*

Study of Redundancy in Near-Ideal Parallel Structural Systems

*In this paper the reliability of parallel structural systems is studied in order to begin to understand and quantify the system factors influencing the overload capacity and the redundancy...*

A Strategy for the Reliability Analysis of Complex Structural Systems

*A general strategy to estimate the failure probability of the class of structural systems for which each deterministic structural analysis is expensive is proposed. The strategy is interactive,...*

Revised Failure-Conditioned Reliability Index

*The authors have developed the failure-conditioned reliability index to estimate the probability of intersection of correlated normal variates. The index makes use of the mean and standard...*

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