Markov Chains & Soil Constitutive Modeling
The focus of this research effort is the construction of a mathematical framework to assist in understanding the role of uncertainties in the constitutive/dynamic behavior of soils. The...
A Statistical Model for Predicting Fatigue Life of Graphite/Epoxy Laminates
A failure stiffness criterion and a residual stiffness degradation model are proposed from which the statistical distribution of the fatigue life of composite laminates is derived. Experiments...
A Probabilistic 3-D Short-Term Slope Stability Model
A probabilistic model to analyze the three-dimensional stability of earth slopes under short-term conditions is presented. An actual failure case is studied to show the implementation...
Lifetime Reliability of Wood Structural Systems
A model to predict ultimate capacity reliability of wood systems is developed. The model is analogous to Markov cumulative damage models. System ultimate capacity is defined as failure...
Multicriterion Reliability-Based Optimization of Structural Systems
The optimization of nondeterministic structural systems under random loads is currently performed by single-criterion reliability-based optimization methods. However, in structural design...
Random Vibration of a Discrete-Distributed System
The stationary response of an arbitrarily complex, classically damped discrete-distributed system subjected to stationary Gaussian white noise is derived. For certain excitations, the...
Autoregressive Model of Spatially Propagating Earthquake Ground Motion
An autoregressive random process model was used to investigate a simulation method of spatially and temporally variative ground motion when characteristics of motion are prescribed by...
Recursive Modeling of Dynamic Response of MDOF Systems
The dynamic response of multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) systems to correlated multi-input random excitations utilizing recursive modeling is presented. The recursive model is formulated...
MA to ARMA Two-Stage Monte Carlo Simulation
A prior autoregressive (AR) model can be the basis to obtain a quite eficient and reliable subsequent autoregressive moving average (ARMA) approximation. The design of the AR system which...
Time Series Analysis of Wind Pressures on Low Buildings
A new methodology for the description of local wind pressures on the building envelope of mono-sloped roof buildings by using time series analysis is described. A simple AR(1) model has...
Applications of ARMA Models for Seismic Damage Prediction
As an alternative to current design practice which is based on peak measured ground motions and scaled records from different events, individual earthquake records are treated as samples...
System Reliability Under Time Varying Load
The reliability of ductile and brittle structural systems under time varying loads is investigated. The formulation in the context of outcrossing of a vector process is examined. A new...
Stochastic Properties of Wind Spectra
In the first part of this paper the correlation function of measured wind spectra is compared with theoretical correlation models assuming a stationary wind process. This comparison indicates...
Response of Two-Span Beam to Spatially Varying Earthquake Excitation
The effect of the spatial variation of strong ground motion should be considered in the analysis and design of large structures such as bridges, lifelines, dams, etc. The stochastic response...
Probabilistic Structural Response of a Turbopump Blade to Random Pulse Loading
The objective of this work is to develop probabilistic models of the response of a Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) turbopump blade to random impact loading. These loads are caused by...
Parameter Identification in Markov Damage Models
This paper is concerned with the identification of parameters in cumulative damage processes whose underlying statistics are Markov. We consider the problem of parameter estimation during...
Expert Systems for Drought Management: A Case Study
This paper describes the development and application of a computer model used by the Seattle Water Department (SWD) for operations during drought. This model provides guidance for initiating...
Assessing WQ Impacts Using a Hydraulic Model
Engineering projects may cause water quality impacts in estuarine systems. It is important to assess those impacts during the planning phase of the project so that mitigation measures...
Modeling Hydrologic Components of the Upper St. Johns River Project
Off-line stormwater management areas and riverine marsh conservation areas are the major components of the Upper St. Johns River Project, Florida. Dimensions and operations of these components...
Modeling Water Supply Benefits of a Shallow Lake in a River Reach
Minimum flow and level requirements based on ecological, water quality, recreation and other needs are established and used as limiting criteria in the development of a riverine lake as...
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