Parameter Identification in Markov Damage Models

by P. Voltz, Polytechnic Univ, United States,
F. Kozin, Polytechnic Univ, United States,
J. L. Bogdanoff, Polytechnic Univ, United States,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Probabilistic Methods in Civil Engineering


This paper is concerned with the identification of parameters in cumulative damage processes whose underlying statistics are Markov. We consider the problem of parameter estimation during normal field operation and maintenance, and discuss almost-sure convergence of the estimates. We present a theorem on convergence which is valid under a very general class of maintenance policies, and a computer simulation example to demonstrate the theorem.

Subject Headings: Parameters (statistics) | Computer models | Markov process | Maintenance and operation | Convergence (mathematics) | Simulation models | Mathematical models

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