Probabilistic Load Combinations in Nuclear Structures
A variety of loads affect a nuclear power facility during its lifetime. The magnitudes or intensities of these loads are uncertain, and for some of them, their time of occurrence is also...
A Reassessment of Codified Limit States Design
This paper examines the nature of design codes and their relation to engineering practice. It suggests that codes impose unjustifiable and, in the long term, destructive constraints on...
Pore Pressure Development: Probability Analysis
The development and subsequent dissipation of excess pore pressure, p in a soil deposit subject to an external load is examined using probability concepts that account for uncertainties...
Dependence of Fatigue Damage on Loading Amplitude Variability
Welded steel specimens have been tested under variable amplitude loadings to determine the extent to which fatigue life is affected by the rate of amplitude variability of the loading...
Fracture Control for Arctic Vessels and Structures
Materials used for construction of Arctic structures and vessels are exposed to low ambient temperatures, high local ice loads and intermediate to high loading rates. All these factors...
Fracture Mechanics Fatigue Reliability Assessment Employing the Most Probable Point Locus Method
The statistical distribution of cycle life, N, could be easily constructed if N were an explicit function of the design factors. A simple strategy for constructing the distribution of...
Upper-Bound Estimate of the Reliability of Plastic Slabs
This paper gives a brief presentation of some recent results on probabilistic analysis of plastic slabs, especially reinforced concrete slabs. The estimate of the reliability of such slabs...
Effects of Random Material Properties and Loads
The variability of slab deflections is estimated from analytical expressions accounting for random variations of spatially distributed loads and material properties (stiffness parameters)....
Probabilistic Design of Flexible Pavements
Numerous random phenomena enter into the process of deterioration of pavements under the effect of traffic. It is felt that improvement in current design methods could be obtained by adopting...
Reliability of Geometrically Nonlinear Structures
A procedure for first- and second-order, finite-element reliability analysis of geometrically nonlinear structures under static loads is presented. Structures are either linear or nonlinear...
Multicriterion Reliability-Based Optimization of Structural Systems
The optimization of nondeterministic structural systems under random loads is currently performed by single-criterion reliability-based optimization methods. However, in structural design...
Probabilistic Design of Offshore Structural Systems
Probabilistic design of structural systems is considered in this paper. The reliability is estimated using first-order reliability methods (FORM). The design problem is formulated as the...
Analysis of Bridge Truck Loads
The development of the reliability-based load and resistance factor design (LRFD) methodology requires uncertainties in loads and resistance be quantified. In the load capacity evaluation...
Damage Accumulation Models for Bridges
In the study summarized in this paper the serviceability and ultimate limit states were reviewed for concrete and steel girder bridges. A model is proposed to evaluate strength and remaining...
Research Needs for Rational LRFD Criteria
There are at least a dozen factors causing or influencing impact. Current design specifications consider only a few of these. Location of truck wheel loads within the traffic lanes on...
Bridge Reliability?Evaluation vs. Design
Probabilistic methods of structural safety are being widely accepted as a basis for rationally considering uncertainties and developing reliability based design specifications for various...
Recursive Modeling of Dynamic Response of MDOF Systems
The dynamic response of multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) systems to correlated multi-input random excitations utilizing recursive modeling is presented. The recursive model is formulated...
MA to ARMA Two-Stage Monte Carlo Simulation
A prior autoregressive (AR) model can be the basis to obtain a quite eficient and reliable subsequent autoregressive moving average (ARMA) approximation. The design of the AR system which...
Applications of ARMA Models for Seismic Damage Prediction
As an alternative to current design practice which is based on peak measured ground motions and scaled records from different events, individual earthquake records are treated as samples...
Actual Versus Assumed Behaviour of Girder Bridges
It is generally believed that the discrepancies between calculated and actual responses of bridges can diminish, to the point of being nonexistent, with refinement in the method of analysis....
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