Risk Analysis in Water Resources Engineering: Development and Application
Traditional engineering approaches for evaluating safety and performance in technical projects are usually based on conceptual modeling and the application of engineering standards. Risk...
Integrated Assessment of Environmental Risk and Human Response
Meaningful risk assessment for environmental problems requires an integrated consideration of physical science and human behavioral issues. This is particularly true when dissaggregate...
Quantitative Risk Assessment and Technology Transfer: Software Developments
A risk-based adaptation of the hydroeconomic model for estimating the expected annual damages of floods is presented in a spreadsheet environment. The model demonstrates how commercially...
Overview of AWARE: A Software Tool for Balancing Power and Nonpower Values in Water Resource Planning
Decision Focus Incorporated has developed a software tool for the Electric Power Research Institute to help utilities and other water resource planners examine the social trade-offs between...
Aversion to Epistemic Uncertainties in Rational Decision Making: Effects on Engineering Risk Management
When faced with epistemic uncertainties in a decision problem, subjective expected-utility theory (SEU) implies that the only relevant characteristic of these uncertainties is the mean...
Optimal Flood Warning Threshold: A Case Study in Connellsville, Pennsylvania
A methodology for selecting an optimal flood-warning threshold has been developed by Haimes et al. (1990). The probabilistic evaluation of a forecast system coupled with a stochastic dynamic...
System Engineering and Risk
System engineering means many things to many people, but there is a large group of practicing engineers in the defense and energy sectors who define system engineering as a structured...
Extended Kalman Filter-Finite Element for Geotechnical Problems
A parameter identification method has been developed in geotechnical engineering problems, where the extended Kalman filter-weighted local iteration procedure is developed incorporated...
Site-Dependence of Spatial Coherency
The spatial coherency of ground motion from nine dense arrays are analyzed to examine the site-dependence of spatial coherency. The spatial coherencies computed for arrays located on alluvium...
Estimates of Extreme Wind Distribution Tails
The assumption that extreme winds have a Gumbel distribution appears to yield unrealistically high failure probability estimates for wind-sensitive structures. For this reason we study...
Digital Simulation of Wind Load Effects
The time domain solution of the equations of motion of structures subjected to a stochastic wind field is often obtained by a step-by-step integration approach. The loading is often described...
Comparison of Wind Cross-Spectral Data with Models
Existing analysis procedures for the prediction of long-span bridge response to wind have until recently neglected the horizontal-vertical cross-spectral components of the wind under the...
Non-Gaussian Vortex Induced Aeroelastic Vibrations under Gaussian Wind
The 'lock in' aeroelastic vibration phenomenon observed for random wind excitation is modeled in a way that allows the application of the Slepian model process tool to obtain an approximation...
A Fatigue Reliability Model for Railway Bridges
A fatigue reliability model is described for safety evaluation of steel railway bridges. The model is a function of six independent random variables and can accommodate different types...
Some Modeling and Analysis Techniques for Wave Propagation in Random Media
Some mathematical modeling techniques for the problem of wave propagation in randomly imperfect periodic medium are reviewed: multiscale formulation and random evolution modeling. These...
Probabilistic Order of Chaotic Dynamics
A chaotic dynamics system generally turns a deterministic input into a random-like output. Although the response is not directly predictable in the deterministic sense, its probabilistic...
Reliability-Based Optimization Using Sequential Quadratic Programming
This paper proposes a method for reliability-based optimization of large structures using the Stochastic Finite Element Method, including both component and system reliabilities. In SFEM,...
How to Improve Writing Skills
Many papers submitted to ASCE journals are rejected because of poor writing. Moreover, the most common complaint employers have of newly graduated engineers is their lack of writing skills....
Engineering of Controlled-Drainage Systems
Soil-water management by water table control (via a dual purpose subdrainage-subirrigation system) is becoming popular in humid regions of the U.S. and Canada. Controlled-drainage is an...
ETBC: Interactive Software for Blaney-Criddle Estimates of Evapotranspiration
ETBC is a menu-driven computer program which calculates monthly evapotranspiration (ET) using the USDA Soil Conservation Service version of the Blaney-Criddle formula, as described in...
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