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Probabilistic Risk Analysis of TLP Tether Fracture
A stochastic model for fatigue crack growth and final fracture of TLP tethers is formulated. Model updating through in-service inspection is included. The integrity of the cracked tether...

Loading Uncertainties in Extreme Waves
Uncertainties associated with extreme base shear forces and extreme overturning moments are estimated for an idealized eight-legged jacket platform. The structure is assumed to respond...

Minimum Lifetime Cost Design of Coastal Structures?A Proposal of Design Method for Rubble Sloping Breakwaters
The authors propose herein a rational design method for coastal structures with consideration for their repairs. The special characteristics of the proposal are that a certain extent of...

The Concept of the New Waterway Storm Surge Barrier: Reliability as an Integral Part of a Nation's Sea Water Defense System
In the southwest of the Netherlands a storm surge barrier is to be built in the waterway that gives access to the port of Rotterdam. Strict design conditions ensure that only very slight...

Reliability Analysis for Offshore Structures
This study presents the reliability analysis of an offshore structure. The mechanical model includes various elasto-plastic diagrams with and without the combination of the normal force...

Correlated Non-Gaussian Models in Offshore Structural Reliability
Correlated non-Gaussian models of offshore loads and responses are developed. These require only correlation coefficients and either marginal distributions or moments. Simple estimates...

Largest and Characteristic Earthquakes in the U.S. East of the Rocky Mountains
A new statistical procedure is proposed for the estimation of maximum earthquake magnitude M in intraplate regions. Starting from a historical catalog of events and a seismotectonic classification...

Simple Damage Predictors for Large-Scale Seismic Risk Mapping
Although it is now recognized that there is a risk of moderate seismic activity in the Eastern United States, many existing buildings were not designed for earthquake forces. To evaluate...

Seismic Fragility Analysis of Shear Wall Structures
This paper presents an analytical method to generate seismic fragility curves for shear wall structures. Uncertainties in earthquake motion and structure are quantified by evaluating uncertainties...

Multi-Hazard Risk Assessment of an Offshore Structure
This paper develops and illustrates a methodology for multi-hazard modal risk assessment. The case study involves assessing risk to an offshore structure in a load environment consisting...

Seismic Response and Vulnerability of Water Delivery Systems
The response and vulnerability of straight segmented buried pipelines subject to seismic wave propagation are investigated in this paper. Seismic damage to buried pipelines is briefly...

Serviceability of San Francisco Auxiliary Water Supply System
A method is developed for estimating the seismic serviceability of water supply systems. The method can account for uncertainties in earthquake, mechanical properties of soil and pipelines,...

Serviceability of Water Transmission Systems
This present paper deals with the vulnerability and reliability of a functionally as well as physically hierarchical lifeline system. Most major lifeline systems have this feature. For...

Graphical Demonstration of Serviceability Analysis
A graphical interactive computer program (GISALLE) has been developed using state of the art computer graphics to estimate the seismic performance of water supply systems. GISALLE is developed...

Lifeline Systems Reliability, Serviceability and Reconstruction
In this paper we present a brief outline of methods and results for characterizing the reliability and serviceability of oil pipeline systems. Further, we present an outline of methods...

A Stochastic Clustering Model for the Occurrence of Large Earthquakes Along the Central Peruvian Margin
A stochastic model of a process of cluster centers and subsidiary cluster member processes is presented for the occurrence of large earthquakes along the Central Peruvian Margin. In the...

Earthquake Clustering in the Kanto District
Earthquakes in the Kanto district (Japan) between January 1983 and March 1987 are analysed for the identification of independent main shocks and for the hierarchical clustering of secondary...

Earthquake Ground Motions Consistent with Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
The present study deals with the new methodology for simulation of earthquake ground motion for the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) of structures. Peak ground acceleration, acceleration...

Seismic Risk Analysis Based on Spectral Characteristics of Ground Motions
This paper presents two different approaches to construct the seismic response spectrum from a probabilistic point of view. One is the uniform hazard response spectrum, the other is the...

A Seismic PRA Procedure in Japan and its Application to a Building Perforance Safety Estimation: Part 1. Seismic Hazard Analysis
A method for seismic hazard evaluation which deals with response spectrum information is presented. A local city near Tokyo facing the Pacific Ocean is selected for the case study. It...

 

 

 

 

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