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The General Theory of Quantitative Risk Assessment
From the many individual applications of quantitative risk assessment (QRA) that have been made in various fields, this paper abstracts and lifts out the concise, simple, and elegant cluster...

Climatic Change and Ensuing Risks Facing Water Resources Managers
Global climatic changes will have a significant effect on the utilization of regional water resources and will influence markedly the operation and management of water storage and delivery...

Quantitative Risk Assessment and Technology Transfer: Software Developments
A risk-based adaptation of the hydroeconomic model for estimating the expected annual damages of floods is presented in a spreadsheet environment. The model demonstrates how commercially...

Aversion to Epistemic Uncertainties in Rational Decision Making: Effects on Engineering Risk Management
When faced with epistemic uncertainties in a decision problem, subjective expected-utility theory (SEU) implies that the only relevant characteristic of these uncertainties is the mean...

On Deciding Between the Use of Engineering Standards and Risk Analysis
Risk analysis offers advantages for the optimal design and maintenance of infrastructure, but it is not always practical to apply due to the nature of certain types of infrastructure....

System Engineering and Risk
System engineering means many things to many people, but there is a large group of practicing engineers in the defense and energy sectors who define system engineering as a structured...

Remediation Site Prioritization by the Risk Ranking and Filtering Method
The risk ranking and filtering (RRF) method, developed for ranking critical components of the NASA Space Shuttle, is a possible framework for the prioritization of hazardous-waste sites...

The Role of Risk Analysis in Feasibility Studies of Water Resources Projects
Many parameters involved in feasibility studies of water resources projects are inherently uncertain. Projections of these parameters based upon extension of past trends can be quite inaccurate....

Optimal Allocation of Resources in Repair and Maintenance of Bridge Structures
The structural design process, examined in its entirety (and taking into account the uncertainty and randomness that characterize the governing parameters) is a decisional process, involving...

Reliability Analysis of Lunar Structures Under Meteoroid Impact
The United States is slowly moving towards lunar base, and possibly Mars base, activities. Design of structures for these bases requires knowledge about loadings and conditions which in...

Implementing Uncertainty Treatment in AI Development Environment
The seismic vulnerability of existing masonry buildings is investigated by an expert system prototype. Field inspectors have to provide answers which can be of a Boolean, fuzzy or probabilistic...

A Probabilistic Regional Damage Estimation Model for Earthquake Occurrences
In this paper we present a model for estimating regional earthquake damage. The model utilizes the relational data base management system ORACLE and the geographic information system ARC/INFO...

Fuzzy Measures in the Knowledge Based Diagnosis of Seismic Vulnerability of Masonry Buildings
Rules based expert systems and fuzzy logic have been employed to increase the speed and the reliability of the survey of masonry buildings, to forecast their seismic vulnerability....

Response Variability and Reliability of Plates Using the Weighted Integral Method
A methodology is introduced to perform both the response variability and reliability analysis of two-dimensional stochastic systems (specifically plates subjected to plane stress or plane...

Stochastic Finite Elements and Reliability Analysis
A general - purpose approach for assessing the reliability of a nonlinear mechanical system under stochastic conditions was presented in (Faravelli, 1991). It combines the skeleton of...

Reliability Analysis of Uncertain Systems Under Random Loadings
This study considers the reliability assessment of uncertain systems under random loadings. The fast integration method (Wen and Chen, 1987) in conjunction with a second order asymptotic...

Stochastic Dynamics of Hysteretic Systems
A frequency domain method is discussed in order to evaluate the second order statistical response of nonlinear hysteretic structures. Both shear type systems and lumped mass frames involving...

Structural Reliability of Seismic Isolation System
Seismic reliability analysis of isolated structure is conducted. In this study focused on are bearing capacity of isolation layer considering strength randomness of isolation bearings...

A Coordinate Reduction Technique With Mass Correction for Dynamic Analysis of Structural Systems
A more accurate technique which can be applied for reducing the order of system matrices when employing the finite element method (FEM) is presented. Unlike traditional reduction techniques,...

Controlled Braking on Uneven Roads
The braking process of a passenger car may be influenced by a large number of variables relating to driver, vehicle, brake system, tire-road interaction and ambient conditions. Because...

 

 

 

 

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