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Aversion to Epistemic Uncertainties in Rational Decision Making: Effects on Engineering Risk Management
When faced with epistemic uncertainties in a decision problem, subjective expected-utility theory (SEU) implies that the only relevant characteristic of these uncertainties is the mean...

On Deciding Between the Use of Engineering Standards and Risk Analysis
Risk analysis offers advantages for the optimal design and maintenance of infrastructure, but it is not always practical to apply due to the nature of certain types of infrastructure....

System Engineering and Risk
System engineering means many things to many people, but there is a large group of practicing engineers in the defense and energy sectors who define system engineering as a structured...

Remediation Site Prioritization by the Risk Ranking and Filtering Method
The risk ranking and filtering (RRF) method, developed for ranking critical components of the NASA Space Shuttle, is a possible framework for the prioritization of hazardous-waste sites...

The Role of Risk Analysis in Feasibility Studies of Water Resources Projects
Many parameters involved in feasibility studies of water resources projects are inherently uncertain. Projections of these parameters based upon extension of past trends can be quite inaccurate....

Reliability Analysis of Lunar Structures Under Meteoroid Impact
The United States is slowly moving towards lunar base, and possibly Mars base, activities. Design of structures for these bases requires knowledge about loadings and conditions which in...

Response Variability and Reliability of Plates Using the Weighted Integral Method
A methodology is introduced to perform both the response variability and reliability analysis of two-dimensional stochastic systems (specifically plates subjected to plane stress or plane...

Stochastic Finite Elements and Reliability Analysis
A general - purpose approach for assessing the reliability of a nonlinear mechanical system under stochastic conditions was presented in (Faravelli, 1991). It combines the skeleton of...

Reliability Analysis of Uncertain Systems Under Random Loadings
This study considers the reliability assessment of uncertain systems under random loadings. The fast integration method (Wen and Chen, 1987) in conjunction with a second order asymptotic...

Stochastic Dynamics of Hysteretic Systems
A frequency domain method is discussed in order to evaluate the second order statistical response of nonlinear hysteretic structures. Both shear type systems and lumped mass frames involving...

Structural Reliability of Seismic Isolation System
Seismic reliability analysis of isolated structure is conducted. In this study focused on are bearing capacity of isolation layer considering strength randomness of isolation bearings...

A Coordinate Reduction Technique With Mass Correction for Dynamic Analysis of Structural Systems
A more accurate technique which can be applied for reducing the order of system matrices when employing the finite element method (FEM) is presented. Unlike traditional reduction techniques,...

A Selective MC Simulation Technique for Nonlinear Structural Reliability Assessment
A selective Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) procedure for the evaluation of the reliability of nonlinear structures subjected to dynamic random loading is presented. The proposed 'double...

Load Duration and System Effects in LRFD for Wood Construction
The wood industry is developing a Load and Resistance Factor Design (LRFD) speciification for wood construction using probabilistic concepts. An analysis based on statistical models for...

Reliability-Centered Management of Wood Transmission Lines
Through implementing reliability-centered management concepts, more cost-effective management of wood pole transmission lines may be achieved. By identifying individual structures and...

Asymptotic Importance Sampling
One of the main issues in reliability analysis is the accurate and efficient calculation of the multivariate reliability integral. The Asymptotic Importance Sampling Technique (AIS) selects...

Sampling Techniques for Time-Variant Reliability Problems
Time-variant structural reliability problems arise when the structural resistance may change with time (such as in structural deterioration) or when the system is acted upon by two or...

A Unified Simulation Approach to Structural System Reliability Analysis
To determine accurate estimates for the system reliability of large complex structures requires considerable computation; unless the problem is assessed in an efficient manner the analysis...

Comparison of Some Importance Sampling Techniques in Structural Reliability
The approximate calculation of structural reliabilities by FORM/SORM is well known. Nevertheless, alternatives or at least methods with which the error by these methods can be quantified...

Use of Importance Sampling Constraints in System Optimization
An important application of system reliability analysis is to incorporate overall system risk as a constraint in a structural optimization. The paper describes the use of Monte Carlo Importance...

 

 

 

 

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