Probabilistic Modeling of Scheduling Uncertainty: Methods and Tools

by Ali Touran, Northeastern Univ, Boston, United States,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Computing in Civil Engineering


This paper provides an overview of probabilistic project scheduling methodologies and tools. It emphasizes the practical application of Monte Carlo simulation in modeling activity durations. Commercial software for probabilistic scheduling and their limitations in dealing with correlations between activities are discussed. Two case studies are briefly described to show applications of probabilistic scheduling using network and non-network approaches.

Subject Headings: Probability | Scheduling | Uncertainty principles | Decision support systems | Computer models | Monte Carlo method | Mathematical models | Simulation models

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