Joint Consideration of Pipe Breakage and Pipe Flow Probabilities

by Ian C. Goulter, Univ of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manit, Can,
Francois Bouchart, Univ of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manit, Can,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Hydraulic Engineering


Two issues of distribution network reliability, namely, probability of pipe failure and probability of the design flow being exceeded have been discussed. Expressions containing measures of the two issues have been incorporated as chance-constraints into a mathematical formulation for determining the least cost of distribution networks. However, direction is required for changes to the model parameters so as to achieve, at least cost, the greatest improvements in network reliability.

Subject Headings: Pipelines | Pipe joints | Pipe flow | Probability | Flow distribution | Water flow | Failure analysis | Mathematical models

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