Medium Classic Rail Traffic: How to Forecast the New High Speed Rail Traffic

by A. López Pita, Universitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain,
J. P. Arduin, Universitat de Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: High Speed Ground Transportation Systems I: Planning and Engineering


This paper describes the current situation of the transport flows by modes in the international relations between Spain and the rest of Europe. Explains the geographic zoning adopted for accurately establishing origin/destination flows. Details the different models used for traffic forecasting, including everything necessary for evaluating the induced traffic on all new high speed lines in accordance with french experience. Finally the paper will provide the results obtained for the total traffic and for each origin/destination.

Subject Headings: Rail transportation | Traffic speed | Traffic models | Forecasting | Mathematical models | Zoning | Traffic management | Traffic flow | Europe | Spain

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