Quantifying Uncertainty in Site Characterization

by William J. Boyle, RE/SPEC Inc, Rapid City, United States,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural and Geotechnical Reliability


The uncertainties in determining the true geologic conditions at the proposed high-level nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain, Nevada needed to be determined as part of the Exploratory Studies Facility Alternatives Study (ESF-AS). The uncertainties to be determined were defined and related by a probabilistic 'tree' called 'Nature's Tree,' which provides a relationship between the actual conditions at Yucca Mountain and what a site characterization program determines the conditions to be.

Subject Headings: Uncertainty principles | Waste sites | Geology | Radioactive wastes | Probability | Trees | Site investigation | Mathematics | Nevada | United States

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