A Power Planning Model for Seismic Risk Zones

by John T. Doan, Seattle Dep of Construction & Land Use, Seattle, WA, USA,
Yupo Chan, Seattle Dep of Construction & Land Use, Seattle, WA, USA,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Facility Location and Land Use: The Urban/Rural Dilemma


We present a model to configure a nuclear power system consisting of plants and the distribution network. In the model, we quantify seismic risk as comprehensively as possible in terms of ground acceleration, duration of shaking and probability of occurrence. We also model the risk faced by the entire power distribution system, rather than just the nuclear power plant. Perhaps the most interesting part of the model is that it balances the utility company's valuation on reliability and cost against the public's concern for safety. In this light, the model could provide valuable information in the political process of siting nuclear power plants. Similar applications could be developed for other facilities, like telephone exchanges and nonnuclear power plants.

Subject Headings: Seismic effects | Power transmission | Seismic tests | Power plants | Risk management | Power transmission lines | Probability | Nuclear power

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