The Status of Risk Analysis in Water Resources Engineering

by Eugene Z. Stakhiv, US Army Corps of Engineers, Fort, Belvoir, VA, USA,



Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources

Abstract:

Acceptance of probabilistically based risk-analysis evaluation methods among water resources engineers is rather slow, as it is among other engineering specialities. Academic researchers promote a wide variety of advanced methods to assist in the efficient design of water-related structures ranging from highway culverts, levees, and dam spillways to marine breakwaters. Yet, there is considerable resistance in using these techniques for very fundamental and understandable reasons. Risk analysis is advocated here, as in many other forums, as a way of dealing with the evaluation of important but uncertain decision variables in an explicit and formal manner.

Subject Headings: Risk management | Water resources | Spillways | Construction management | Resource management | Probability | Management methods

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