Using Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts to Support Operation of TVA's Reservoir System, The First Year's Experience

Evaluation of Uncertainty in Geological Framework Models at Yucca Mountain, Nevada

The Long Range Transportation Planning Process: Complex Answers to the Wrong Questions

A Monte Carlo Technique for Assessing Motor Vehicle Emission Model Uncertainty

Robust Plume Containment System Design Under Uncertainty

Optimal Supply of Parking at Airports
The design capacity of parking facilities at airports is generally estimated in relation to one or more standard decision variable such as enplaning passengers, number of employees, and...

Integration of Reliability, Uncertainty and Optimization in Hydraulics Systems: Classification of Problem Types
Design and operation of hydraulic systems can be an extremely complex task. Although not widely accepted the application of deterministic optimization techniques can provide guidance to...

Integration of Reliability, Uncertainty and Optimization in Hydraulics Systems: Structural Reliability
The focus of this paper is to provide an overview of analysis and optimal design of systems in which the system reliability is dependent upon the structure of the system (such as the layout...

Uncertainty in Reservoir Operation Optimisation
The water resources literature is rich with the application of optimisation techniques in the presence of uncertainty. This paper presents a brief overview of the various ways uncertainty...

Integration of Water Quantity and Quality Planning
This paper describes the integration of water quantity and quality objectives within the framework of a computerized interface design to assist with the difficult process of long-range...

Considering Uncertainties in Water Resource Designs
Design of water resource systems often faces with various uncertainties. The nature of problems in essence are decision making under uncertainties. This paper offers an introduction to...

Designing Under Uncertainty When We Can Reduce Uncertainty: When is Another Observation Worth the Cost?
A method is presented that optimizes the selection of sites for observation of an uncertain parameter when that parameter is used in the risk-based design of an engineered system. The...

IPA Phase 2 Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis

Identifying Significant Uncertainties in Thermally Dependent Processes for Repository Performance Analysis

Managing Uncertainty in Project Planning and Execution: Introduction and Overview
This paper provides an introduction and overview of topics that are relevant to project design and management under conditions of uncertainty, with an emphasis on civil engineering projects....

Quantification of Cost Uncertainties Using Neural Network Technique
This paper describes the development of a neural network system for forecasting cost escalation in construction. The input of the neural network system consists of factors that have an...

Interpretive and Modelling Problems of Risk and Uncertainty in Bidding Techniques
This paper considers the implementation of policy, strategic and tactical bidding and the processes of devolution of the risk and uncertainty in a corporate management context....

Managing Uncertainty in Environmental Remediation Project Planning
The cleanup operations in environmental remediation (ER) process, a relatively new area of opportunity for the construction industry, is often avoided due to its perceived high risks....

Probabilistic Modeling of Scheduling Uncertainty: Methods and Tools
This paper provides an overview of probabilistic project scheduling methodologies and tools. It emphasizes the practical application of Monte Carlo simulation in modeling activity durations....

Risk-Based Management of Uncertainty During Project Planning and Execution
The Land Disposal Restrictions (LDRs) of the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act (RCRA) are the critical technical standards for the establishment of compliance plans and schedules...

 

 

 

 

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