The Credibility of Probabilities: An Application to Water Resources Policy
This paper focuses on one particularly troublesome issue in decision analysis, the issue of the credibility of subjective probabilities. A water resources policy problem is used to illustrate...
The Sociocultural Context of Coping with Risk and Uncertainty
In the context of the present conference, selected points will be underscored about the centrality of risk and uncertainty in contemporary society, aspects of judgment and decision making,...
A System Framework for Engineering Risk Analysis
A mathematical system framework is developed to model a series of criteria called performance indices (PI) related to engineering risk in water resources. Such criteria include reliability,...
The Status of Risk Analysis in Water Resources Engineering
Acceptance of probabilistically based risk-analysis evaluation methods among water resources engineers is rather slow, as it is among other engineering specialities. Academic researchers...
The Risk Factor in Water Resources
Risk is inherent in nature and society, while uncertainty depends on investigations. Decision making in water resources is most often a deterministic selection of dimensions which divide...
U.S. Bureau of Reclamation Use of Risk Analysis
The United States Bureau of Reclamation (USBR) has been using risk analysis techniques in assessments for management decisions. Before presenting USBR practice and experience, the paper...
Some Perspectives and Philosophies on Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources
The authors have selected four perspectives of the water resources decision problem that illustrate how formal risk-based approaches may be applied - an economic perspective, an environmental...
Environmental Considerations in Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources
In the hypothetical Royal River Project there are several factors pertaining to environmental issies; these factors have a bearing on selection among the several alternatives and lead,...
The Ultimate High Tide
Unprecedented consumption of fossil fuels and clearing of vegetation have spurred interest in the greenhouse effect. Under this scenario, a build-up of carbon dioxide and other gases in...
The Basics of Water-Resistant Brick Walls
Water-resistant masonry walls of burned clay or shale brick are the result of a conscious effort to produce them, by everyone involved in their creation. Furthermore, owner maintenance...
Pipeline Frost Heave Predictions Using a 2-D Thermal Model
Chilled structures founded on initially unfrozen soils cause a zone or 'bulb' of frost to develop with time. This time period may be of seasonal duration, as...
Knowledge-Based Consultant for Construction Inspection
This paper shows how knowledge-based expert systems can be implemented in construction inspection to provide the necessary information needed by an inexperienced inspector to inspect complex...
Passing the Public Works Buck
Users and beneficiaries of local and state public works projects are paying a larger share of their cost. State and federal grants and general local revenues are being relied on less....
Water Forum '86
World Water Issues in Evolution
These proceedings for Water Forum '86 include papers presented at the second conference in which the water-oriented divisions of the American Society of Civil Engineers have...
Hydrologic Modeling Using Radar-Rainfall Imagery
A flash flood forecasting system is being developed which has three main elements: 1) high resolution estimation of rainfall in time and space using radar and ground-based gages; 2) computer...
Three-Dimensional Boundary Element Techniques for Moving Boundary Problems
The boundary element method (BEM) is a powerful numerical method well suited for a wide variety of engineering problems. The numerical computations are performed only on the boundary of...
Water System Data Base for Naples, Florida
Boyle Engineering Corporation has developed a comprehensive database technique using its Intergraph Computer-Aided Design and Drafting (CADD) system to assist in the computer modeling...
Application of Lotus Symphony in Water Quality Modeling
The spreadsheet capability of the Lotus Symphony program package was used to simulate the dissolved oxygen dynamics in streams and rivers. 'Windows' were created...
Interactive Modeling and Display of Spatial and Time Varying Phenomena Using CAPLIB7
This paper describes some of the software being used at Cornell University to aid the development of tools for modeling phenomena having both spatial and temporal dimensions. Such models...
Endangerment Assessment in a Multilayered Aquifer Using a Microcomputer Based Transport Model
An endangerment assessment describes the types and degrees of potential hazards to public health, welfare, or the environment that may result from the release of hazardous substances into...
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