EPA's Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program: Availability of Broad-Scale Environmental Data and Opportunities for Use in Environmental Modeling Applications
The Environmental Monitoring and Assessment and Program (EMAP) has collected a suite of environmental data over a four year period from estuarine systems in the mid-Atlantic and Gulf of...
Estimation of Directional Spectra by ML/ME-Methods
The paper discusses the statistical Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Entropy (ME) methods for estimation of directional wave spectra. A combined ML/ME method is derived, and a reduced version...
Joint Probability of Superelevated Water Levels and Wave Heights at Duck, North Carolina
Storm events are typically classified as a percent occurrence or return interval based on their peak storm elevation. The stage is the combination of storm surge, astronomical tide and...
The Determination of Typhoon Design Wave By Synthetic Probibility Method
In summer and autumn, typhoons always take place in the northwest pacific. in the northern hemisphere, the typhoon is a large, anticlockwise, atmospheric eddy. Due to the strong wind speed,...
Joint Probability Distribution of Rainfall Intensity and Duration
Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves are widely used for peak discharge estimation in designing hydraulic structures. Accurate interpolated and extrapolated intensity values are difficult...
Probabilistic Characterization of Droughts
The Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) uses a set of meteorologic and hydrologic variables to create a numerical value for drought severity. The index values are grouped into drought...
Instream Flow Policy: An Alternative to Minimum Flowby
The limitations of current instream flow policies based on the concept of minimum flowby are discussed. An alternative policy based on sharing the available resource among competing uses...
Uncertainty in Reservoir Operation Optimisation
The water resources literature is rich with the application of optimisation techniques in the presence of uncertainty. This paper presents a brief overview of the various ways uncertainty...
Considering Uncertainties in Water Resource Designs
Design of water resource systems often faces with various uncertainties. The nature of problems in essence are decision making under uncertainties. This paper offers an introduction to...
Willingness-to-Pay for Alternative Shortage Probability Distributions
Mathematical programming is used to derive estimates of the willingness-to-pay of water service customers for improvements in water supply reliability. Reliability is represented as a...
Homogeneity Tests Based Upon Gumbel Distribution
This paper analyzes the performance of three homogeneity tests for Gumbel distributed flood flows. The classic Dalrymple test, a method-of-moment Cv test, and a normalized-quantile test...
A Regional Model of Daily Streamflow for the Northeast United States
A regional flow duration curve (FDC) model is under development which relates daily streamflow at 166 unregulated basins in the northeastern U.S. to watershed and climatic characteristics....
Probabilistic Modeling of Scheduling Uncertainty: Methods and Tools
This paper provides an overview of probabilistic project scheduling methodologies and tools. It emphasizes the practical application of Monte Carlo simulation in modeling activity durations....
A Computational Algorithm for Analysis of Rectangular Footings Under Partial Contact with Soil
This paper describes a method to determine the distribution of base pressures under a rectangular footing experiencing partial contact of the footing with soil. Assuming the footing to...
A Flexible Structural Analysis Method for Computer-Aided Preliminary Design
This paper presents a new method for supporting structural analysis during preliminary design stage that is based on Gere's idea of 'moment distribution'. The extension is that in this...
Model Tests on Caissons
Laboratory tests were conducted on model caissons to better understand the settlement/deflection behavior of open ended caissons on sandy soil, with embedment depth, caisson diameter,...
Probabilistic Observation Method for Settlement-Based Design of a Landfill Cover
Uncertainties in subsurface conditions make predicting total and differential settlement a difficult task. The Observation Method, which is commonly implemented to acquire additional knowledge...
When and How Can You Specify a Probability Distribution When You Don't Know Much?
This paper presents an excerpt from the proceedings of the above-named workshop, and gives an overview of both the workshop and the proceedings. Five papers with diverse and complementary...
A Theoretical Framework for Risk Assessment
This paper puts forth a theoretical framework for the development of any risk model. The focus is on the distinction between model and parameter uncertainty....
Uncertainty and Time Preference in Shore Protection
From a review of economic, psychologic, and geographic literature, three points of criticism of the economic model of choice are 1) when faced with losses, individuals tend not to be averse...
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