Nowcast Protocol for the Great Lakes Forecasting System
The Great Lakes Forecasting System is a cooperative federal-university undertaking designed to implement a predictive system for each of the Great Lakes. The desired forecasts concentrate...
New Hong Kong International Airport
The airport at Kai Tak has served as a viable commercial operation since the lat 1930s and has played a pivotal role in the territory's development. The fact that Kai Tak has a finite...
Generating Detailed Emissions Forecasts Using Regional Transportation Models: Current Capabilities and Issues
Mobile source emission estimates have long been calculated using composite emission factors (expressed as grams of emissions per mile) and estimates of vehicle-miles travelled. Techniques...
Integrated Software for Transportation Emissions Analysis
As the air pollution problem in the major metropolitan areas of the United States has increased, new interest has emerged for greater accuracy in the estimation of emissions from mobile...
Quantitative Risk Assessment and Technology Transfer: Software Developments
A risk-based adaptation of the hydroeconomic model for estimating the expected annual damages of floods is presented in a spreadsheet environment. The model demonstrates how commercially...
Optimal Flood Warning Threshold: A Case Study in Connellsville, Pennsylvania
A methodology for selecting an optimal flood-warning threshold has been developed by Haimes et al. (1990). The probabilistic evaluation of a forecast system coupled with a stochastic dynamic...
Evapotranspiration Data Management in California
This paper will discuss components of the California Irrigation Management Information System (CIMIS). CIMIS is an automated agricultural weather network operated by the California Department...
A Markov Chain Approach for Analyzing Palmer Drought Index
Drought is conceived as a period of below normal precipitation or moisture deficiency that would affect the social and economic activities of a region. The Palmer Drought Index (PDI) is...
Predicting Water Demand in Agricultural Regions Using Time Series Forecasts of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration
Overall, it can be said that the time series model developed in this study did provide superior forecasting results for the Brawley, CA, site. This indicates that the monthly reference...
Streamflow Forecasting Using Trainable Neural Networks
In this investigation the practicality of applying a backpropagation neural network to modeling watershed response characteristics is examined. Two separate tests were performed. One test...
Forecasting Instabilities in Groundwater Parameters
A multiprocess Kalman filter recursive procedure is used as a tool for modeling and analysis of noisy groundwater series in order to detect abrupt fluctuations and instabilities in the...
Recommended Cold Regions Meteorological Instrumentation
For nearly 30 years, CRREL has studied environmental conditions in winter weather. These efforts have concentrated on providing field-measured meteorological data and historical climatological...
Effects of Natural Gas Storage on Gas Price Forecasts
This paper explores the effects of natural gas storage on short-term gas price forecasts. At the Southern California Edison Company (Edison), the gas price forecast incorporates a multitude...
Forecasting Behavioral Response to a Repository from Stated Intent Data
To forecast repository-induced behavior from surveys of behavioral intention, we develop a model of the relation between stated intent and actual propensity. This model relies heavily...
Real Time Forecasting at a Major Flood Control Project
Using data from a network of real time rain and stream gages, Alabama Power computes inflows in a deterministic streamflow model and adjusts outflows hourly to achieve optimum flood control...
Adaptive Parameter Estimation for Multisite Streamflow Forecasting
An adaptive procedure for parameter identification and noise statistics estimation for multisite streamflow forecasting is presented in this work. The model is a multivariate ARMAX model,...
Utilization of Weather Radar for Hydrologic Forecasting
New technologies to collect, analyze, store, retrieve and display hydrologic data offer significant improvements to conventional methodologies used for predicting hydrologic events. Computer...
Utility System Demand Forecasting Using Land Use Coefficients
In rapidly changing areas where several divergent paths of future growth are possible, there are advantages to forecasting future water demands and wastewater flows using the water and...
Meteorological Aspects of Hurricane Hugo
Despite recent improvements in the accuracy of hurricane forecasting at a rate of about one-half to one percent per-year over the past decade, the population growth in coastal mainland...
Monitoring Absolute Sea Level Change
Global-scale monitoring of sea level change is a key component of the U.S. Global Change Research Program. The NOAA Global Sea Level program incorporates state-of-the-art satellite and...
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