Characterization of Uncertainty in Reservoir Operations

by Lindell E. Ormsbee, Univ of Kentucky, Lexington, United States,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Water Management in the '90s: A Time for Innovation


The development of operating policies for complex reservoir systems typically requires a consideration of various system component interrelationships and several conflicting operating objectives. The most difficult facet of the problem is the requirement to develop a future operating policy in the presence of uncertain future inputs (or streamflows). The paper examines the various ways that uncertainty has been incorporated into the development of reservoir operations while at the same time documenting several actual applications.

Subject Headings: Uncertainty principles | Reservoirs | Management methods | Water resources | Professional societies | Probability | Statistics | Forecasting

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