Practical Water Demand Forecasting

by G. K. Young, GKY & Associates Inc, Springfield, VA, USA,
R. T. Kilgore, GKY & Associates Inc, Springfield, VA, USA,
K. G. Saunders, GKY & Associates Inc, Springfield, VA, USA,



Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Computer Applications in Water Resources

Abstract:

The authors describe their experience in designing, building, and applying a water demand forecasting model for the Denver metropolitan area. In the presence of incomplete and sometimes inconsistent data, a method is presented through which adversarial interests may participate in the building and ultimate acceptance of the model and its corresponding forecasts. The model itself is a two-tiered approach to forecasting in which use factors are applied to demographic variables (for example, households and population) for a first approximation of forecast demand. Then, through regression analysis of various socio-economic variables (for example, lot size and price), the preliminary estimates are fine-tuned.

Subject Headings: Forecasting | Water demand | Regression analysis | Water supply | Urban areas | Social factors | Economic factors | Denver | Colorado | United States

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