The IRI Seaonal Climate Prediction System
by Simon J. Mason, Lisa Goddard, Nicholas E. Graham, Elena Yulaeva, Liqiang Sun, and Phillip A. Arkin
Chapter: 10A207, (doi 10.1061/40430(1999)4)
Download fulltext
Purchase Subscription
Permissions for Reuse 
| Document type: |
Conference Proceeding Paper |
| Part of: |
WRPMD’99 - Preparing for the 21st Century |
| Abstract: |
One of the most significant advances in the atmospheric sciences in recent years has been the development of an ability to predict ocean-atmosphere variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean (Carson, 1998). Occasional basin-wide warming or cooling of equatorial sea-surface temperatures, known as El Nio and La Nia events, together with an associated oscillation of atmospheric pressure over the South Pacific Ocean, known as the Southern Oscillation (Allan et al., 1996), can have global climate repercussions. Both extremes of the El Nio— Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon have been associated with temperature and rainfall anomalies around the world (Ropelewski and Halpert, 1987, 1989; Halpert and Ropelewski, 1992). The influence of the tropical oceans on the atmosphere forms the theoretical basis of seasonal climate forecasts (Palmer and Anderson, 1994). |
|
