Maximum Weighted Log-Likelihood Estimation for Parameterization Selection Uncertainty
Hydraulic conductivity identification remains a challenging inverse problem in groundwater modeling because of inherent non-uniqueness and lack of flexibility in parameterization methods....
Evaluation of a Bias Aware Ensemble Kalman Filter Using a Scaled Aquifer Transport Experiment
In this study, a bias-aware Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) is applied to a scaled aquifer transport experiment (1-cm of the model equals 1-m at field scale and 1-day of model transport...
Evaluation of Satellite-Based Impervious Surface Data for the Mid-Atlantic Region Using an Independently Collected, High-Resolution Validation Database
Satellite-based estimates of impervious surfaces are being produced for the entire United States as part of the U.S. Geological Survey's (USGS) Landsat-based National Land Cover Database...
The Accuracy of Extrapolated Design Estimates with Hydrologic and Environmental Models
Extrapolation error in water resources and environmental modeling has not been the subject of adequate study in the past. In research and design, estimates obtained from regression models...
Flow through Vertical Barrier Screens?Numerical Model
A simple one-dimensional numerical model based on the energy equation is developed to predict the normal flow distribution through barrier screens composed of several vertical segments...
Experimental Uncertainty and Measurement Errors in Hydraulic Engineering
The Task Committee on Experimental Uncertainty and Measurement Errors was formed to provide information and guidance on current practices used for describing and quantifying measurement...
Systems for Forecasting Flows and Their Uncertainty
Discussed are design issues of distributed systems for operational flow forecasting. Results of sensitivity analyses are presented which illustrate forecast flow dependence on model discretization...
3D Flow Structures?From Laboratory to Field Applications
One laboratory experiment and one field application have been modeled. For each one different sources of errors in the model results could be detected. It may be concluded that the applicability...
Risk of Extreme and Catastrophic Events
Assessing the extreme tails of a probability distribution, where events of very low probability can nevertheless lead to catastrophic outcomes, is one of the most widely discussed and...
Human Error Models for Structural Reliability
This paper presents models for human errors to be used along with reliability analyses. The models account for the occurrence of errors, their magnitude, and the detection of the errors....
Structural Analysis for Structural Design
This paper presents a simple extension to conventional structural analysis that serves to provide additional information that is of significant use to the structural design process. Specifically,...
Applications of Large Domain Hydrodynamic Models to Generate Frequency-of-Occurrence Relationships
This paper describes theory and application of the Empirical Simulation Technique (EST), a statistical procedure for simulating time sequencing and frequency-of-occurrence relationships...
Localized Sigma Coordinates for the Vertical Structure of Hydrodynamic Models
This paper analyzes the use of localized sigma coordinates in the numerical solution of the vertical structure of coastal flows. We show, through a combination of truncation error analysis...
Evaluating the Steady State Stochastic Dynamic Programming Model for the High Aswan Dam
The paper describes the results of a study to critically evaluate and test the Steady State Stochastic Dynamic Programming model (SSDP). Whenever a reservoir computer model is developed,...
Quantification of Cost Uncertainties Using Neural Network Technique
This paper describes the development of a neural network system for forecasting cost escalation in construction. The input of the neural network system consists of factors that have an...
An Inductive Knowledge-Based System for Mitigation of Bridge Fabrication Errors
Fabrication and erection of steel bridges are very error-prone processes. Bridge engineers at the Kansas Department of Transportation (KDOT) felt that there is a need for the development...
3D Free Surface Flow Model Verification - A Panel Discussion on Test Cases
This paper is to briefly present the objectives and approaches of the Panel Discussion on test cases to be developed for 3d free surface flow model verifications, so that professionals...
Estimating Network Model Parameters from Mail Survey Data
Network models are generally based on a four-step modeling process; trip generation, trip distribution, modal split, and trip assignment. Microcomputer implementations of these steps have...
Estimation and Regionalization Procedures of Nash's Instantaneous Unit Hydrograph
A 'total fit' method is suggested for computing Nash's instantaneous unit hydrograph (IUH) which minimizes the errors of all ordinates between the observed and generated hydrographs. Previous...
National Weather Service Interactive River Forecasting Using State, Parameter, and Data Modifications
Interactive flood and river flow forecasting using the National Weather Service Interactive Forecast Program (IFP) is outlined. The IFP is an extension of the National Weather Service...
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