Degrees of Belief: Subjective Probability and Engineering Judgment

by Steven G. Vick,

American Society of Civil Engineers, Reston, VA
978-0-7844-0598-7 (ISBN-13) | 0-7844-0598-0 (ISBN-10), 2002, Soft Cover, Pg. x, 455
23 cm.

Document Type: Book

Abstract: Masterfully synthesizing a wide variety of sources in a way directly relevant to engineers, the book draws on the history and philosophy of science through the work of Thomas Kuhn and Henri Poincaré. It provides a window on current behavioral research that applies it to everyday thinking. This is all richly illustrated by examples from practice, including a gripping reassessment of the 1986 Challenger incident as seen through the eyes of the engineers who experienced it. From philosophical foundations to nuts and bolts, this is a groundbreaking book of serious content and sparkling style sure to engage any engineer or scientist who thinks about what they do and how they do it.

Subject Headings: Probability | Uncertainty principles | Geotechnical engineering | Risk management | Decision making | Tension | Diagnosis | Lifeline systems


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