Climate Change

by Jim Lambert, Univ of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources VI

Abstract: The wide range of predictions from global climate models most often encourages a wait-and-see approach. These uncertainties and a trust that conventional policy is sufficient to accommodate future changes are paralyzing managers into inaction. Risk-based approaches must be improved to synthesize all the existing knowledge and evidence, and reflect the credence of all underlying assumptions. The last session discusses some diverse thinking on how risk-based engineering tools cope with variable and uncertain climatic conditions.

Subject Headings: Water discharge | Hydrologic models | Water quality | Water resources | Risk management | Water supply | Climate change

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