Maximum and Minimum Storage Trajectories That Meet Specific Risk Levels

by Laura Fagherazzi, Hydro-Quebec,
Jean-Claude Rassam, Hydro-Quebec,
André Turgeon, Hydro-Quebec,

Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Risk-Based Decision Making in Water Resources V

Abstract: One of Hydro-Quebec concerns is to operate its installations so as to satisfy the operating constraints. This paper describes a mathematical tool that enables the utility company to state that each of the operating constraints is met with a certain preestablished reliability level. Two parts of this tool - namely, the weekly partial multivariate stochastic streamflow generator and the deterministic simulator - are elaborated. A case study is presented.

Subject Headings: Streamflow | Stochastic processes | Case studies | Risk management | Reservoirs | Mathematical models | Simulation models

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