The Credibility of Probabilities: An Application to Water Resources Policyby Peter A. Morris, Applied Decision Analysis Inc, Menlo, Park, CA, USA,
Abstract: This paper focuses on one particularly troublesome issue in decision analysis, the issue of the credibility of subjective probabilities. A water resources policy problem is used to illustrate some of the preliminary results of ongoing research sponsored by the National Science Foundation.
Subject Headings: Water resources | Sensitivity analysis | Probability | Federal government | Public policy
Services: Buy this book/Buy this article
Return to search