Proposed Operation of an Expert System for Analyzing Construction Project Risksby Leston B. Nay, III, Project Software & Development, Inc, Cambridge, MA, USA,
Robert D. Logcher, Project Software & Development, Inc, Cambridge, MA, USA,
Abstract: The principal problem for the construction project manager is selecting the most effective response when project progress deviates undesirably from targeted objectives. Optimally, the project manager would like to forecast performance variance and apply mitigating strategies before project performance suffers unduly. While existing computer-based project management systems are thorough in their comparison of actual time, cost, and resource use with the plan, they do not explain why actual results differ from the project plan. The paper describes the proposed operation of an expert computer system designed to analyze causes of construction project work package variance from planned objectives.
Subject Headings: Project management | Systems management | System analysis | Risk management | Managers | Expert systems | Forecasting
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