An Infrastructure-Based Strategy for Guiding Reconstruction, Development and Reconciliation in Lebanon

by Donald R. Drew, Virginia Polytechnic Inst &, State Univ, Blacksburg, VA, USA,



Document Type: Proceeding Paper

Part of: Rebuilding America: Infrastructure Rehabilitation

Abstract:

In 1979 an agreement was entered into between the CDR, U. S. A. I. D. , and the American University of Beirut (AUB) whereby an interdisciplinary team of AUB researchers would develop a computer model based on the Agenda Papers to be used for guiding the rehabilitation of Lebanon. Simulation of a socio-economic system like a region involves building and operating a model designed to represent those features of the system which are deemed to be significant in view of the objectives behind the simulation. Some of the more obvious benefits of simulation include: (1) forecasting of macro behavior; (2) predicting consequences of government actions and refusal to act; (3) conducting sensitivity analysis to establish research and data gathering priorities; and (4) providing aids to communication among specialists and in the achievement of understanding.

Subject Headings: Developing countries | Data analysis | Sensitivity analysis | Social factors | Government | Computer models | Urban and regional development | Lebanon | Middle East | Asia

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